Post by icouldblion on Nov 5, 2022 4:38:25 GMT -6
Line: Packers 3.5 point favorites
This appears to be the most beatable Packers team the Lions have faced in over a decade. They are struggling offensively, with only 16 offensive TD's through 8 weeks of play, and only converting 37% of their 3rd downs. They are only averaging 6.6 yds per pass attempt, easily the lowest number of Rodgers' career, mostly due to a serious lack of weapons in the receiving game. They are averaging nearly 5 yds per carry. Defensively, they are allowing about the same averages as their offense is achieving in per pass and per rush averages, with a total of 17 sacks.
Unfortunately, the Lions seem to be the perfect cure for any struggling offense, allowing career type offensive output from the likes of Seattle, Miami, New England. The Lions are giving up 5.1 yds per carry and a staggering 8.1 yds per pass attempt, while allowing a league worst 50.6% third down conversion rate (as well as a 62.5% 4th down conversion rate). Offensively, the Lions are still among the league leaders in TD's, rushing and passing average. Sadly, their defense has overshadowed the performance of the offense, giving up 28 TD's compared to the 21 TD's the offense has generated.
The Lions will be as healthy for this game as they have been in a while, with only 3 bench DB's and Matt Nelson listed as out, and Josh Reynolds listed as doubtful. Still, given our history vs the Pack and our recent game film, this feels like another close game where the Lions play just well enough to lose. I can see Aaron Jones running wild against this defense as well as killing us in the screen game.
Lions 27
Packers 35
This appears to be the most beatable Packers team the Lions have faced in over a decade. They are struggling offensively, with only 16 offensive TD's through 8 weeks of play, and only converting 37% of their 3rd downs. They are only averaging 6.6 yds per pass attempt, easily the lowest number of Rodgers' career, mostly due to a serious lack of weapons in the receiving game. They are averaging nearly 5 yds per carry. Defensively, they are allowing about the same averages as their offense is achieving in per pass and per rush averages, with a total of 17 sacks.
Unfortunately, the Lions seem to be the perfect cure for any struggling offense, allowing career type offensive output from the likes of Seattle, Miami, New England. The Lions are giving up 5.1 yds per carry and a staggering 8.1 yds per pass attempt, while allowing a league worst 50.6% third down conversion rate (as well as a 62.5% 4th down conversion rate). Offensively, the Lions are still among the league leaders in TD's, rushing and passing average. Sadly, their defense has overshadowed the performance of the offense, giving up 28 TD's compared to the 21 TD's the offense has generated.
The Lions will be as healthy for this game as they have been in a while, with only 3 bench DB's and Matt Nelson listed as out, and Josh Reynolds listed as doubtful. Still, given our history vs the Pack and our recent game film, this feels like another close game where the Lions play just well enough to lose. I can see Aaron Jones running wild against this defense as well as killing us in the screen game.
Lions 27
Packers 35
