Post by icouldblion on Nov 19, 2022 9:38:46 GMT -6
Line: NY Giants by 3 O/U 45
The Giants enter this game with a rather surprising 7-2 record. However, a closer look at their schedule reveals they have only beaten 2 teams with a winning record all season, a 1 point win against Tennessee in the 1st week of the season, and a 4 point win against Baltimore in week 6. They haven't dominated any game they have played, with an 8 point margin of victory being their largest, accomplished twice, both times at home against the Bears in week 4 and the Texans last week.
Over the past 3 weeks (2-1), during which they have played @jacksonville, @seattle, and home vs Houston, they have averaged 20.0 pts, right in line with their 20.8 pts/gm season average, with virtually no difference in their home/away splits on the season. The Giants offense has struggled at home this season, averaging 308 yds/gm vs 348 yds/gm on the road, though they did put up 367 yds against Houston last week. The Giants lean heavily on Barkley, who leads the league in yds from scrimmage and rushing yds. The team is 3rd in the league in rushing at just under 165 yds/gm, ranking 29th in the league in passing attempts, and 30th in passing yardage per game.
Defensively, the Giants are middle of the pack in most statistical categories, ranking 19th on the season in total yds allowed, though they are a stingy scoring defense, ranked 9th overall. They are allowing 17.4 pts/gm at home. They can be run on, allowing 133 yds/gm, 24th ranked overall, though they have only given up 110 yds/gm over their past 3. They are allowing 157 yds/gm rushing at home this year, and only 104 yds/gm on the road. They have the 18th ranked passing defense in yds/gm on the season, though they rank 29th over the past 3 games, and also rank 18th in sacks. The Giants are 6th in the league in turnover margin.
The Lions enter the game on a 2-game winning streak, having averaged 24.3 pts/game in their last 3 games which matches their season average. However, they are averaging 31.6 pts at home, and only 15.3 pts on the road this season. They enter the game relatively healthy and full of confidence.
The keys to this game will be ball security and keeping Goff clean on offense, and figuring out a way to shut down Barkley on defense. This sounds really simple, but is exactly how every team approaches the Giants, yet they continue to be successful. 5 of their 7 wins are by 6 pts or less, so expect a close game. The Giants take care of the ball, and only pass when they have to, relying on field position, a solid kicking game and the 2nd ranked red zone defense in the league to pull out close games.
Since I've started doing these game previews, I've predicted two straight Lions' losses, and they are undefeated. Why fuck with a streak?
Giants 24
Lions 21
The Giants enter this game with a rather surprising 7-2 record. However, a closer look at their schedule reveals they have only beaten 2 teams with a winning record all season, a 1 point win against Tennessee in the 1st week of the season, and a 4 point win against Baltimore in week 6. They haven't dominated any game they have played, with an 8 point margin of victory being their largest, accomplished twice, both times at home against the Bears in week 4 and the Texans last week.
Over the past 3 weeks (2-1), during which they have played @jacksonville, @seattle, and home vs Houston, they have averaged 20.0 pts, right in line with their 20.8 pts/gm season average, with virtually no difference in their home/away splits on the season. The Giants offense has struggled at home this season, averaging 308 yds/gm vs 348 yds/gm on the road, though they did put up 367 yds against Houston last week. The Giants lean heavily on Barkley, who leads the league in yds from scrimmage and rushing yds. The team is 3rd in the league in rushing at just under 165 yds/gm, ranking 29th in the league in passing attempts, and 30th in passing yardage per game.
Defensively, the Giants are middle of the pack in most statistical categories, ranking 19th on the season in total yds allowed, though they are a stingy scoring defense, ranked 9th overall. They are allowing 17.4 pts/gm at home. They can be run on, allowing 133 yds/gm, 24th ranked overall, though they have only given up 110 yds/gm over their past 3. They are allowing 157 yds/gm rushing at home this year, and only 104 yds/gm on the road. They have the 18th ranked passing defense in yds/gm on the season, though they rank 29th over the past 3 games, and also rank 18th in sacks. The Giants are 6th in the league in turnover margin.
The Lions enter the game on a 2-game winning streak, having averaged 24.3 pts/game in their last 3 games which matches their season average. However, they are averaging 31.6 pts at home, and only 15.3 pts on the road this season. They enter the game relatively healthy and full of confidence.
The keys to this game will be ball security and keeping Goff clean on offense, and figuring out a way to shut down Barkley on defense. This sounds really simple, but is exactly how every team approaches the Giants, yet they continue to be successful. 5 of their 7 wins are by 6 pts or less, so expect a close game. The Giants take care of the ball, and only pass when they have to, relying on field position, a solid kicking game and the 2nd ranked red zone defense in the league to pull out close games.
Since I've started doing these game previews, I've predicted two straight Lions' losses, and they are undefeated. Why fuck with a streak?
Giants 24
Lions 21